I am always confused about Kejriwal. He is one politician I find a big disconnect. An IITian and an Ex. IRS officer is supposed to be highly intelligent, but he always plays an aam aadmi (common man) role. His simple attire is fine. However, my confusion is that I never even for once found that spark of intelligence in his way of speaking, addressing press conferences, or while speaking on TV. I watch him very intently. His delivery style doesn’t project command or authority. Somehow I always find the conviction missing. I study body language and keep on observing leaders across the nation as well as international leaders. I have never come across someone like Kejriwal. Is he concealing something very cleverly, or is projecting his manipulated aam aadmi image? But how does it help him? I Observe Lalu Prasad Yadav as well. He is very highly intelligent. He has a typical presentation style of a village person but his command, authority, and intelligence are clearly visible. My eyes constantly keep on searching for elements that people would like to see in a probable PM candidate. The list includes a good number of leaders including Kejriwal. But sorry I have not seen any such spark in him as a person. However ideally speaking a person of Kejriwal’s background, stature and position should have been an instant hit. Eight-nine years as CM should have been enough to build up that aura even in the most simple attire or with peasant-like speaking.
As regards “Operation Lotus is on in Punjab” I believe it is a blatant lie. It would be a hundred miles away from the truth. Not that BJP can not do it principally. But right at this moment, BJP would not attempt it because there is no base for BJP. Buying out sixty-seventy MLA should not never be an issue for BJP. And that too snatching MLAs from a CM like Bhagwant Mann should be the easiest thing for BJP to do. Possibly Mann would never know what hit him. Kejriwal sitting in Delhi would not able to do anything. Though BJP would never make any such attempt directly. The state would see a hostile revolt from all the corners if BJP takes over Punjab through back door. Though BJP has its alley Captain Amarinder Singh through whom such thing can be done. But rest assured BJP is not going to do an Operation Lotus in Punjab - No chance.
Why am I so confident? Part of the reason I have told above. The most important reason is pulling down the AAP government would help the resurrection of Congress in Punjab. BJP may be able to snatch power from AAP in Punjab. But the 2024 general election is not far and if the AAP government is pulled down people may vote back to Congress in the general election. That risk is there. Under no circumstances BJP would want Congress to bounce back, even if it means allowing AAP to win MP seats from Punjab.
I have already written in many of my answers that parties like AAP, TMC, etc are the BJP’s B team. BJP will effectively use them to divide Congress votes as well as throw Congress out of power wherever it is in power. AAP is an instrument in BJP’s hands. Both AAP and TMC played excellent roles in Goa ensuring Congress’s defeat diving Congress’s vote share. AAP will play the same role in Gujarat and HP. In the last Gujarat Assembly election, Congress secured 41.44% vote share and BJP secured 49% which was dangerously close. All these controversies are being created to position AAP as the leading challenger in Gujarat to divide Congress votes. In the last assembly election, AAP got only 0.1% vote there. The people of Gujarat know the ground reality. Both BJP and AAP together are trying to mislead the people by creating a false notion about their enmity so that the opposition vote goes AAP vertically splitting Congress votes. The paid-up Godi media is also projecting AAP as the main opposition party of BJP even at the national level to confuse people. As if AAP is the only party that can fight BJP in 2024. And they make it look like that the battle between BJP and AAP is at its peak. Every day both sides will make press conference and there will be debate show on TV. This is just to give maximum visibility to AAP, Kejriwal, and Manish Sisodia by the Godi media. Whereas AAP doesn’t have a single MP in the Lok Sabha. Neither AAP has a strong base in Gujarat. BJP desperately wants AAP to get at least 10–12% votes. That would be enough for BJP to make a comfortable victory in the assembly election. But both Kejriwal and Modi Ji know that increasing the vote share from 0.1% to 11% is not an easy task. That's why herculean efforts are being made.
Edit:
I was expecting that somebody would bring Rahul’s reference. In fact, I thought of bringing Rahul into the discussion table but Rahul was not in the scope of the question, so I avoided it. I even wrote about Modi Ji as a benchmark, but then deleted it. Since VR Sir has raised this question I am adding the edit section, though I have already responded to him in the comments section.
My evaluation is purely technical considering various individual specific parameters. And this evaluation is devoid of personal likings or dislikings. For example, Modi Ji scores very high even when he doesn’t speak. Because a lot depends on mannerisms. That's why I said Kejriwal is a puzzle for me, he confuses me. This is not so with so many other people, for example, Fadnavis, Yogi, and Mamata. Their scoring pattern matches their profile.
Kejriwal is holding a position for the last nine years, he has defeated Modi’s BJP single-handedly twice. He has rather devastated BJP on both occasions. So mannerism is supposed to come automatically. But I find that is missing. I do not have any explanation for that. My complaint with Kejriwal is in that regard. I would request people to watch him once under the scanner critically. It may so happen that Kejriwal is unconventional, where the pattern doesn’t work. Possible.
Coming to Rahul. His score is definitely not high. But that is well expected. Congress has not won any election under his leadership. He doesn’t occupy any position of command in the government. He became the party president or the Congress High Command by dint of his family tree. That is no achievement. He knows that he has not earned it. So no respect attached. His party leaders and MLAs are left, right, and center being ambushed. He has lost his family seat Amethi. So practically there is no reason/chance to see the conviction and mannerism or the spark that I would like to see in him as a PM candidate. It wouldn’t come naturally, which only success can give. And at this moment he doesn’t have any success.
Well, people can say it's a question of Chicken or egg first. But that's a never-ending debate. However, I have seen Rahul speaking at least on a few occasions when I couldn’t doubt his elements. The first was the press briefing after the 2019 election defeat. That was as best as could be by anyone in India, yes anyone in India. The second one was his address in the parliament when he spoke for an hour extempore. The third was his recent press meeting when he addresses a battery of reporters’ questions. There could be more. But I remember these three particularly. Now one can say these were flashes in the pan. possible. But without those elements within him, he couldn’t have spoken like that. If he gets some success then I am sure that we would see the mannerism automatically. And if he fails then the question wouldn’t arise anyway. Rahul having it or not wouldn’t matter till such time he wins an election. If he fails to win a general election or win big numbers, the question becomes irrelevant. Otherwise, if he wins, all these questions would be meaningless. The same is applicable to Kejriwal.
Finally, my assessment or expert opinion doesn’t mean anything. Whoever turns the table is the king.
Edit 2:
Every time I speak of the B Team Analogy, I get a good number of counter-argument questioning how is this possible. My submission is that people are free to believe what they are comfortable with. However, let me tell a story. India and China have a huge border dispute as well as China every time blocks our resolution at the UN. But despite all the hostilities, Modi Ji had a friendly relation with Xi, he had so many private summits with Xi and we are making huge imports from China. In fact, our imports from China increased by over 50% despite the border stand-off in the Ladakh region. We use to trade with Pakistan also. So if these are possible how come TMC and AAP can not play the B Team role in return for some favor? Like in Goa both AAP and TMC helped BJP cut Congress vote, otherwise, Congress would have been the winner. Similarly, AAP can help BJP in Gujarat by dividing the Congress votes. Yes, the day AAP becomes a strong party in Goa or Gujarat, then it would not play the B Team role. But till such time no harm in doing some trading with BJP. BSP playing B team role for BJP possibly in return for escaping jail term. The trading can happen in multiple currencies. Mamata can trade off that ED/CBI will not disturb her. Otherwise, do you think it is possible for Mamata and Kejriwal to go and fight elections in a distant place like Goa? Mamata who doesn’t have any base in the nearby states went all the way to Goa. Is she a fool to waste money like that? I am fully confident that they have been provided all kinds of support including funds by the BJP for fighting election in Goa. Well BJP wouldn’t give funds directly, it would ask one of the corporate to help TMC and AAP with funds.
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