Who is going to win the Hyderabad Lok Sabha seat in 2024? It is Mr. Owaisi or will BJP candidate Ms. Madhavi Latha wrest the seat?

In my view defeating Owaisi in the Hyderabad Lok Sabha seat would be an extremely difficult task for the BJP candidate Ms. Madhavi Latha. The seat has been retained by AIMIM consecutively for 9 terms since 1989. The mathematics and the numbers are not working in BJP’s favor. The Hyderabad parliamentary seat is comprised of 7 assembly constituencies, six are in possession of AIMIM and only in possession of the BJP. So that makes BJP’s battle tougher.

The next important thing is that AIMIM’s vote share has been steadily increasing since 2004. In 2004 the party secured a 37.39% vote share and since then it has been only adding to its vote share reaching a mammoth 63.95% vote share in 2019. The population demography is simply not in favour of the BJP. BJP is trying to make a lot of noise. But this one constituency would be the most difficult to dislodge Owaisi unless some miracle happens. BJP has a sizable vote share there. However far from being adequate to defeat Owaisi.