Tuesday, May 28, 2024

What will be BJP's Plan B if it doesn't win 272 seats in 2024 Lok Sabha elections?

 BJP's Plan B is to make Plan A foolproof so that it doesn’t have to think for Plan B.

Why delay in uploading turnout data, Supreme Court asks Election Commission

Association for Democratic Reforms notes there was also an unusually sharp spike in figures from the initial voter turnout percentages released by the poll panel, creating doubts about authenticity

CEC Rajiv Kumar with Election Commissioners, Gyanesh Kumar and Sukhbir Singh Sandhu. Photo: ECI website Though they showing the index finger, they are actually showing the middle finger to democracy, all three in unison)

The Supreme Court on Friday orally asked the Election Commission (EC) to explain its inability to immediately upload on its website authenticated, scanned and legible account of votes recorded booth-wise after each phase of polling in Lok Sabha elections.

“Every Polling Officer submits [voting records] by the evening, after 6 or 7 p.m., by which time the polling is completed. The Returning Officer would then be having the data of the entire constituency. Why don’t you upload it?” Chief Justice of India D.Y. Chandrachud, heading a three-judge Bench, asked the EC counsel.”

People are very suspicious of why the election commission is withholding the constituency-wise vote count. “They have said “451 million” have voted in all the four phases gone by, but constituency-data for all seats which have completed polling has not been given”.

If they have the total count, they must also have the constituency-wise count. What is so secret about it? Why can’t they declare the numbers? This must be the Plan B of BJP, included in Plan A.

Everything seems like a combo pack. In marketing terms, the advertisement is divided into two categories - ATL & BTL. However, there is a 3rd dimension also - TTL. Let me explain ATL and BTL. ATL- (above the line). ATL advertisements involve TV, Print, radio, Digital Media, etc. The ATL activities are designed to get/build widespread national, regional, and international reach & awareness. I call it opening activities, extending the rich.

The ATL activities are like the Flop Shot in Golf. It's a high, soft shot taken with an open clubface to clear an obstacle and land softly on the green. These shots are played to cover the maximum distance. The ATL activities are also like the Flop shot in Golf. These are designed to maximize reach to nooks & corners. In politics, the ATL activities could include all kinds of major media campaigns.

There is another shot in Golf after the Flop shot. The Chip Shot is a short, low-trajectory localized shot played near the green to get the ball close to the hole. Chip shots are played after clearing the maximum distance through the Flop shots. This I call closing activity. Whatever you have started with the opening activities have to be closed and bring the ball near goal. In politics, this is done by rallies and election meetings by trying to build direct contact with the voters. The chip shots are like BTL activities. You can call it direct marketing or target marketing. Customers/voters are already aware of your brand/party/products through the ATC activities. Now you need to close the sale, motivating the voters to vote for you by playing the Chip shot.

The last shot in Golf is the Draw shot. It is a very delicate controlled shot requiring exquisite expertise that curves gently from right to left (for a right-handed golfer) and puts the ball in the hole. All the ATL & BTL activities will be a waste if the voters do not come to vote and press the button of your party. As I have explained it is a very delicate job and needs exquisite expertise to put the ball in the hole, in our case in the EVM. Who can do this better? I suppose the EC is the only player who can do it best unless you want to leave it chances. It can always channel the ball in the right hole. I hope you understand which one is the right hole. No surprise the EC is taking so much time to announce the actual vote count. I understand it takes time to do things out of the way. It has to take care of so many things. For reasons that God only knows why, the ECI always had the objection to using 100% VVPAR verification. Here God is not that almighty God who created us all. Here the God is of flesh and blood. But he is almost equivalent to almighty.

I hope, that now you can that Plan B is already included in Plan A. It's a combo pack. And the Plan B is equally powerful or rather more powerful than Plan A. And if all these Plan A & B fail, I am sure that BJP is ready with its Plan C. That is buying off as many parties and as many MPs. And it has plenty of resources to accomplish that.

What if the BJP loses the elections of 2024?

If BJP loses the 2024 general election the impact will be different on different people and parties. It will be bad for BJP, it will be good for Congress, and good for India. Indian democracy and the constitution will be saved. India will get relief from the havoc of crony capitalism. Indian economy will get a chance to breathe freely. I have been repeatedly highlighting the plight of the economy, job cuts, salary cuts, and unemployment.

Around 38 per cent of students across 23 IITs remain unplaced so far this year, according to information obtained through RTI applications filed by IIT Kanpur alumnus Dheeraj Singh, The Times of India reported. “Over 7,000 IIT students are yet to be placed via campus this year across all the 23 IITs.

In another answer yesterday I wrote This is as per studies made by Deloittes. Deloitte’s latest Campus Workforce Trends 2024 study found that MBA salary expectations are dropping, internship intake by organisations reduced by 10% on an average

Internship intake by organisations reduced by 10% on an average, indicating declining uptake. Similarly, pre-placement offers (PPOs) have experienced an annual drop of 26%. Complementing it, campus hiring budgets saw a 33% drop in the past year.”

Since 2019, I have been shouting that the Indian economy needs course correction, things are going from bad to worse. Unfortunately, the Modi government is adamant not to listen. The entire finance ministry is being run by utterly incompetent people. You see this 360-degree approach. You see every parameter is concurrent - NPA, Write-offs, Fiscal Deficit, Debt to GDP, a three-fold increase in debt, Massive increase in bankruptcy, Fall of the Rupee, Highest ever unemployment, and Increase in Taxation.

As per a bank report published in 2018, 23,000 Indian millionaires had left the country since 2014. India was estimated to lose a staggering 6,500 millionaires in 2023 – The actual net outflow of high-net-worth individuals out of India in 2022 was 7,500 millionaires. These are people with net worth of more than $1 million and above. As per data shared by the Ministry of Home Affairs, alone in 2021 over 1.63 lakh Indians gave up their citizenship. More than 3.9 lakh Indians have given up their citizenship in the previous three years. This is according to the ministry's reply in the Lok Sabha. MoS for Home Affairs Nityanand Rai told the Parliament that in 2021, that 1,33,83,718 Indians were living in foreign countries.

Modi Ji has been claiming that the value of Indian passports has gone up. But we have a different story. Lakhs of people denouncing Indian passports. Just imagine to kind of financial drain India must have suffered for losing so many high-net-worth individuals and what kind of job loss India has suffered under the Modi government.

If today the IITians and MBAs are not getting jobs, there is nothing to be surprised about. Just imagine if the IITians and MBS are not getting jobs then what is the condition of the general graduates and undergraduates? Who will generate employmnet for them? the Modi government has washed off its responsibility to create employment. The gold prices have gone up so much that the gems & jewelry are hugely affected. the same is the story for most other businesses. If we want our economy, our constitution, and our democracy to survive. India has to throw out this Modi government.

Monday, May 27, 2024

Who do you think will win the election of 2024?

This type of question actually speaks of the real picture. On 24th May if people have to ask -” Who do you think will win the election of 2024?” then we need to understand that people are not sure about the star-studded BJP. The party, that is led by none other than Mr. Modi who feels that he derives power from God directly. Just imagine Rahul has to fight someone who has been sent by none other than God himself. But despite that, if people have to ask me who will win the 2024 election, then I believe this is an utter disgrace. Why don’t you believe that he is not biologically born? Earlier we used to hear adjectives like “Superhuman” for Mr. Modi, though I didn’t pay much attention. But its Hindi or Sanskrit translation is simply brilliant अलौकिक (alaukik), and its Assamese/Bengali translation is অতিমানৱ (atimanav). However, if we consider the Hindi or Sanskrit translation अलौकिक (alaukik), it perfectly matches what Modi Ji feels about himself.

In an interview to News 18, PM Modi said, “Until my mother was alive, I used to think I was born biologically. After her demise, when I look at my experiences, I am convinced that I was sent by god. This strength is not from my body. It has been given to me by god.

Just imagine the poor Rahul has to fight against the richest political party in the world. The party that has the entire media in its fold, entire government machinery in its fold. On top of it, Rahul has to fight against a superhuman who is not biologically born. But even then people are not being able to be sure of BJP’s victory. Bhakt, don’t blame me for this. What can I do about it?

However, notwithstanding all these, I believe this time the fight for supremacy is between the EVM and Congress or Rahul. The EVM is supported by the BJP and other partners of the NDA as well as by the ECI + Media. Rahul alone is fighting on behalf of the poor Congress. A very uneven or unequal battle for all practical purposes. Only an all-out public verdict can make Congress a winner.

Why did Sunak announce the general election so abruptly on Wednesday when the forecast was for the 2nd half of the year? I smell a rat, do you?

UK General Elections 2024: United Kingdom's Prime Minister Rishi Sunak called a snap general election on July 4. In a statement from Downing Street on May 22, Sunak said he spoke to King Charles earlier that day to request the dissolution of Parliament for a general election. “The king has granted this request and the general elections will be held on July 4," Sunak announced.

The Fixed-term Parliaments Act was passed in 2011 to have a stable government in the UK. However, the Act was repealed on 24 March 2022 paving the way for mid-term elections if required. Though the UK parliament already decided to hold early elections on two occasions. On 19 April 2017, the UK parliament voted 522 to 13 in favour of an early general election. The election took place on Thursday 8 June 2017. Again on 31st October 2019, Parliament passed legislation to hold a parliamentary general election on 12 December 2019. UK politics has been topsy-turvy during the last five years and a fresh election was due in the 2nd half of this year.

The Conservatives, that Sunak represents have been in power for the last 14 years. It is reported that the chances of the Conservative Party losing this election look high. The opposition Labour Party led by Keir Starmer is ahead in the opinion polls. Sunak has been facing a tough time. Since took over the PM's post less than two years back. In these two years, he has tried to position himself as a reformer and a steady leader, however failed. Unfortunately for him, the Ukraine war and now the Israel war have put the UK economy in a tight spot.

The UK has been battling tough economic conditions. Britain has been facing slow growth for many years, however, the spike in inflation made people feel the pinch very hard. Although the Sunak government has been able to halve inflation from its peak of 11.1 percent in October 2022, the economy entered a technical recession in late 2023, raising doubts about a gloomy economic outlook. With inflation dropping to the current 2.3 percent possibly Sunak feels it to be the best time to hold the election. With the quickly changing global economic scenario, it may not be possible to hold inflation low for long. Possibly by October, the economic situation may not be so favorable.

Secondly, the US presidential election is due on 4th November 2024. It would not be a great idea to push the UK election along with the US election or to hold it after the US election. Which could have been one of the considerations. Otherwise, Sunak could have pushed it to the end of December or even up to January 2025. I do not think Sunak saw any benefit in holding it late. Also, he may have wanted to catch the opposition a little unprepared with the short notice poll date. But no chance the British electorate as well as the Labour Party seems prepared.

What Swati Maliwal reveals why she was in US during Arvind Kejriwal's arrest?

These are useless explanations or justifications. We all always have some explanation or justification for our failure. they may sound very very reasonable or justified. But they never help. Let me tell you something, has anyone ever failed to turn up or fall before for some crucial event in their life? Did you ever fail to turn up for your Class X, XII, and the graduation examination or fell sick on the exam day? Did any of your known relatives or friends fall severely sick on the marriage day and didn’t turn up for marriage?

AAP leader and DCW chairperson Swati Maliwal. Telegraph India File image

The only close story that comes to my mind is that of one of my colleagues. He was suffering from Jaundice and was hospitalized. On the marriage day, he took four hours' leave from the hospital do the marriage and again got hospitalized after marriage. But he didn’t fail to turn up for marriage.

Look at Atishi, she could also have a hundred and one reasons not to be around. But she was there despite all the odds when most others chose not to stick their neck in the Guillotine since all of Kejriwal’s close associates had been arrested by the ED.

Ask Swati Maliwal how many times she failed to turn up in the crucial events of her life. Did she ever fail to attend any important function or exam of her life? You see these reasons however genuine they may be don’t help. So people make sure that they do not fail to turn up whatever may be the difficulty.

It's simply a matter of taking ownership, onus, and commitment whether you are there or not. It reminds me of an incident in 2014. I was attending my younger brother on his deathbed in a hospital. At 11 PM my boss called me that I had to send an appraisal note for one of my juniors recommending his promotion. I was terribly upset with being asked for such a job at that late hour despite knowing my condition. I asked my wife to be there in the hospital and came back home (a five-minute walk). Since I didn’t carry my laptop to the hospital, I had to come home. I did the online appraisal process writing proper justification with the evaluation of his last three years' performance with a lot of data crunching. I went back to the hospital and the next morning my brother expired at 4 AM. I didn’t allow my personal grief to come on the way to someone's promotion. My boss couldn’t have uttered a single word against me if I had chosen not to do the appraisal at 11.30.I was on leave and station leave

Swati Maliwal may have her reasons for being in the US during Arvind Kejriwal's arrest. But it doesn’t help her even if her reason is genuine. My friend attended his marriage taking leave from the hospital. Despite pressure from the family to postpone the marriage, both the bride and groom stuck to their commitment to the date fixed. I didn’t fail my duty despite my younger brother being on his deathbed. People are known for sacrifices made and pain taken. People may not blame you for your failure to attend if the reasons are genuine and valid. But you do not stand out.

In the days of difficulties, it was Atishi who stood rock solid with Kejriwal despite knowing the tremendous risk involved. So she is counted, not Swati Maliawal. Kejriwal good or bad needed people who he could count upon. Swati Maliwal was not there. She didn’t turn up till such time Kejriwal got bail. So her utility is over. Swati Maliwal was possibly a bigger name before this crisis. I personally didn’t know anyone called Atishi. But she did hold the steering in a rock-steady hand.

Will a low turnout affect the BJP?

The low turnout may affect any party depending on who abstained from voting. However, the chances of low turnout affecting Congress is very low. Particularly in the last four phases of the election where we can see an optimistic positive wave in favour of Congress. Congress bottomed up in 2014 & 2019 winning its lowest vote share ever in the most hopeless situation. In 2014 Congress won a 19.31% vote share and in 2019 it was 19.49%. These are the voters who doggedly stuck with Congress in the most hopeless situation despite knowing that there was no chance of Congress winning. Not only that they came out and voted for Congress. If they voted for Congress in an utterly hopeless situation, they will definitely vote for Congress this year since the picture is much brighter for Congress now. Congress has already bottomed out, things can not be any worse for Congress. Congress has come out of its worst phase. Now it can only be better for Congress and it is going to be better.

A senior journalist and two former judges have written to PM Modi and Congress leader Rahul Gandhi to participate in a public debate on the ongoing Lok Sabha elections. File | Photo Credit: Agencies

In contrast, BJP’s bottom-out situation was in 2009. So come what may Congress's vote share can not go down unless some big-scale manipulation happens. On the other hand, BJP’s vote share has gone up 37.36% in 2019 from 31% in 2014 and 31% in 2014 from 18.8% in 2009. BJP won 22.16% vote share in 2004. And BJP won 23.75% vote share in 1999. So we can say that BJP bottomed up to its lowest vote share of 18.8% in the last two and half decades. Even in 1991, the BJP won 20.07% vote share. BJP secured a 20.29% vote share in 1996. And in 1998 BJP secured 25.59% vote share. This is a three-and-a-half-decade dissection of BJP vote share.

So we can safely say that the BJP’s bottom-up level is almost the same as that of Congress at around 19–20%. Both BJP and Congress vote share will not go below this level. We can safely consider BJP’s core voter strength at around 25% max. That means over the last 10 years BJP has gained 12–15% of voters who were sitting on the fence. Who are these 12–15% voters? Let me go one step ahead in dissection.

Let’s consider the combined vote share of Congress and BJP which was around 51% in 2014. It increased to 57%. That means there has been a consolidation of votes in favour of two major parties and the regional parties were the losers since Congress didn’t lose the vote share. Interestingly the combined vote share of Congress and BJP has always been in the same vicinity. In 1991 it was 56%, 49% in 1996, 51% in 1998, 52% in 1999, 49% in 2004, 48% in 2009, 51% in 2014 and 57% in 2019.

The above dissection propagates three facts. 1. The highest consolidation in favour of the two biggest parties has been 57% and we have achieved this in 2019 close to the picture back in 1991 when the consolidation level was 56%. 2. And in 2019 BJP achieved its highest vote share of 37.36% in the last 45 years. 3. As against in 2014 & 2019 Congress scored its bottom-low vote share of 19%. Whereas Congress secured 36.40% vote share in 1991, 28.82% in 1998, 28.3% in 1999, 26.53% in 2004, and 28.55% in 2009.

So it is practically not impossible for Congress to win an additional 10% vote share to take it to around 29% from the 19% level in 2019. If we consider maximum vote consolidation of around 56–57% in favor of Congress + BJP and Congress consuming 29% vote share then BJP will be left out with around 28% vote share. Congress has systematically won over 25% vote share for 20 years from 1991 till 2009. And in these 20 years, the BJP has always been lower than 25% vote share at around 22%. Here I am talking about the core voter strength of both parties. Even if we consider that Modi has added another 5% to its core voter strength, it would hardly take it to 27–28% who will vote for BJP come what may.

Now there is a drop of around 5% turnout. I consider them to be the fence voter because the core voters would turn up to vote to make their party win. The entire drop could come from the BJP’s share. I have already said that over the last 10 years, BJP has gained 12–15% of voters who were sitting on the fence before 2014. So BJP’s vote share can straightway come down to around 32% from 37%. However, this may not change the vote consolidation in favour of BJP & Congress. It was 57% in 2019. In fact, this time the vote consolidation may go up to 60% from 57% since the fence voters stayed away and voting is expected to be decisive.

So out of this 60% if BJP gets a vote share of 32% then the balance of 28% will be left for Congress. The battle between NDA and the INDIA block could be very close this time. And this is considering Modi & BJP remaining as strong as in 2019. In 2019 Modi & BJP was supported by Pulwama & Balakot. This time there is no Pulwama and no Balakot. So if BJP loses a few percentage points for not having any Pulwama effect the game could be really interesting.

Will Mr. Modi step down as PM if BJP individual tally reduced to 260 seats in Lok Sabha but NDA has a whole win majority?

No chance of Modi stepping down as PM if BJP's individual tally gets reduced to 260 seats in Lok Sabha but NDA as a whole wins the majority. People know how BJP formed the government in Karnataka, MP, and Maharashtra through the back door. It will do everything possible on earth to get the majority on its own. I believe all kinds of permutations and combinations have already been worked out and strategies are ready for who all would be bought out and who all could be convinced to resign. Or maybe some members of opposition parties will be persuaded to abstain from voting during the floor test. Supposed BJP doesn’t get the majority on its own and win around 260 seats, then Mamata and Naveen Patnaik may be persuaded to abstain from voting during the floor test. Even Jagan may be persuaded to abstain from voting.

And once the BJP proves its majority and passes the floor test, it will have enough time to manage the number. Another technique that can be applied is that around 30-odd newly elected MPs may be convinced to resign from their party (by paying a hefty amount). The house strength will automatically come down and BJP will have the majority even with 260 MPs. I am sure all these kinds of fieldwork have already been completed and candidates identified for making the deal. I will not be surprised if some kind of advance talk already started. Plus ED/CBI/IT department must have ordered to make files of all major opposition candidates ready. In fact they may be already instructed to start preliminary investigations to send alerts to these candidates that they better toe to BJP dictates if it comes to that.

J P Nadda is a brilliant under-surface tactician and strategist. He will have all his planning and groundwork ready with plans A, B, and C ready. BJP has huge financial resources to do anything it wants. Uddhav Thackeray was a mute spectator when one by one 40 plus Shiv Sena MLAs were hijacked from Mumbai right under his nose. What surprised me was that he didn’t once try to stop them. I can not digest that the Shiv Sena supremo is so helpless. Was there a game in it? By any mistake do you expect Modi to sit and watch if BJP doesn’t get the majority? We will be getting the exit poll results on 1st June. BJP must have already in its possession phase-wise immediately after each phase. So it is 15–30 days ahead of others in planning, which is a big advantage in such a battle.

Why did the Modi government not pay 80.6 lakhs rent for his stay in Radisson Blue in April 2023?

Many such stories will come out in due course. I am quoting part of the news published by Mint. This is possibly for the first time someone has to talk about going to court to recover an unpaid hotel bill for the stay of the PM of the world’s 4th largest economy.

Varanasi, May 14 (ANI): Prime Minister Narendra Modi holds a roadshow

PM Narendra Modi's stay in Mysuru hotel: ₹80.6 lakh unpaid for over a year; Radisson Blu Plaza may go to court: Report

The hotel where Prime Minister Narendra Modi stayed in April 2023, Radisson Blu Plaza in Mysuru, is considering legal action because his bills of ₹80.6 lakh have not been paid, The Hindu reported. PM Modi was in Mysuru to celebrate the 50th anniversary of Project Tiger, organized by the National Tiger Conservation Authority (NTCA) and the Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change (MoEF).

The State Forest Department was told to organise an event from April 9 to 11, costing ₹3 crore with full funding from the Central government. However, following urgent instructions from top officials at MoEF and NTCA, the event's total expense rose to ₹6.33 crore, added the publication

Discussions about unpaid hotel bills for the prime minister's stay in Mysuru have been going on. The issue was initially raised by the Principal Chief Conservator of Forests (Wildlife) to the NTCA in New Delhi on September 29, 2023. The NTCA later responded in February 2024, stating that the State government should cover these expenses.

However, the publication reported that - despite subsequent reminders from the new Principal Chief Conservator in March 2024 and the hotel's finance manager in May 2024, the ₹80.6 lakh bill remains unsettled.

If what is published in the media is correct the State Forest Department was asked to organize the event. In such cases, the typical process is that the fund is generally released in advance by the central government department to the respective state government. And even if the state government has to share part of the expenditure, necessary budget approval from the ministry is taken in advance not post facto. And once the budget is approved the release of funds is just an administrative process. In fact, most often the fund is released in advance. The department can not issue work orders without having funds released.

In this case, it looks like the event was organized hurriedly, there was not enough time to complete the fund release process. Possibly the amount of ₹3 crore that has been disbursed by the Centre was also post-facto instead of typical practice of advance release. The next question is why the event budget got doubled from Rs.3 crores to 6.33 crores at the last moment. This proves that a number of activities got lined up hurriedly and concurrence was taken over video conference instead of regular channels of communication.

What does that indicate? In all possibilities PM Modi was not scheduled to attend the event as per the original plan. Or rather possibly the whole plan of the event was arranged hurriedly as per instruction of the PM since he needed media space & focus before the Karnataka election held on the 10th of May. When things get organised hurriedly there is always a chance of procedural lapse. The state government couldn’t have approved the budget at the last moment because of the model code of conduct in force. The matter would have been regularised had the BJP elected to power. Now the Congress government can not give post facto approval even if it wants. It can not sign any file in back date since it was not in power.

It is clearly understood that there was no budget approval from the state government. The entire expenditure was to be made by the central government. The MoEF and NTCA also seem not regularised the budget outlay and now trying to put the ball in the state’s court. Why should the state pay for the activity organized for Modi’s interest? This is a typical practice of our honourable PM, he would make several visits to the election-bound state to get the media spotlight on the state’s expenditure. Whereas the entire purpose of such a visit is purely political. The aforesaid event looks to be one such visit just a month before the election day.

People would remember how many visits he made to UP before the UP assembly election in 2022. I believe all those visits were official visits of the PM paid from the government exchequer. In 2021 he visited Bangladesh during the Bengal election and he was shown all day long on TV visiting temples there and meeting Mtual community religious leaders there. West Bengal has a sizable population of the Motual community. All these visits and events are entirely politically motivated for electoral gain but at the cost of the government. However, the dirtier part of it is that even there they play politics in releasing payment. Just imagine a hotel has to go to court for disbursement of PM’s hotel stay.

Edit:

If the matter goes to court. The state government will be forced to disclose all internal communications received from the MoEF and NTCA. That may expose how the PM might have intervened at the last moment by instructing to organize and attend the event. Which will not be good for his image. And if all processes were followed then the Congress government in Karnataka will be on the receiving side. Just imagine if the court somehow orders the BJP to bear all the expense, or the union government to bear the cost, how humiliating it would be for the PM. The timing of the event could go against the PM and it could be seen as an electioneering activity of the BJP. Ideally, the PM shouldn’t have taken part in any such activity so close to the election, just a month before the election date. It should actually be considered as a breach of the model code of conduct. The event could have been organized three months before the election or after the election. This is a legal issue.

The schedule of the Karnataka assembly election was announced by the Election Commission of India on 29 March 2023. The Model Code of Conduct "came into force with immediate effect" with the announcement of the schedule by The Election Commission

Wednesday, May 22, 2024

Why is BJP buying corrupt political leaders of other parties, making them join BJP and afterwards rewarding them with election tickets instead of putting them in jail?

Have you heard of the word called virgin steal? I believe the people who have studied metallurgy are familiar with the word. Virgin steel is known as 'BOS steel or “BOF steel” It is made through the Blast furnace-basic oxygen furnace or the basic oxygen steelmaking (BOS) process.

In simple language, Virgin Steel is the steel we get directly by melting freshly mined iron ores in the blast furnace. It is pure and superior in strength. As against virgin steel, we have another steel, that is recycled steel. Recycled steel is made from scrap metal, and it's a much cheaper option than brand-new virgin steel. This is because the production of recycled steel consumes much less energy. Recycled steel is also known as EAF steel since it is produced in Electric Arc Furnace.

Anyway, I will not go too deep into the metallurgy part. I will just harp on certain points. 1. Recycled steel is cheaper or to say economical as it consumes less energy in manufacturing. 2. We are seeing increased application of recycled steel across the world. 3. The primary process of steel manufacturing will remain the BOS or BOF-producing virgin steel. Because without that where will you get the steel for recycling? I will not get into the argument about which steel is better virgin steel or recycled steel. That will be a never-ending argument.

We generally attach too much significance to virginity in the Indian context. However, the definition of life is changing quite fast. Up to a point, a boy or a girl remains a virgin but beyond that, they may change multiple partners. However, this one aspect need not change their individual value proposition as a man or woman. The recycled steel is the same. Steel doesn’t have any emotional value attached, so many times you recycle it doesn’t make any difference. And technology is now so advanced that we can get rid of most of the impurities. Though it may not be possible to 100% match the virgin steel's character, some impurities may still remain.

It is the same with humans. Someone who has changed many partners is expected to go through some inherent changing process. He or she may not behave the same way as earlier. At least the loyalty & trust factor would not be there. Otherwise, they may be great in all other parameters or even better than virgin steel. For example, virgin steel is cheaper. Similarly who have changed multiple partners could be better at conceding and exquisitely skilled in consummation.

Have I digressed from the topic? No. I am quite connected to the topic of turncoat politicians. These turncoat politicians are like those human beings who have changed multiple partners. They are very adaptive, better at conceding, and may be exquisitely skilled in political consummation. In contrast, politicians who believe in chastity could be much less adaptive and need not be very skilled in political consummation. See these things develop with exposure and experience. Inherently they may be equally talented. Secondly, as I said virgin steel is costly because it involves a long processing chain plus energy consumption. In contrast recycled steel is cheaper and quickly available. The only limiting factor is the supply of scrap to produce recycled steel. So it will always be proportional to the production of virgin steel.

BJP resorting to poaching of opposition leaders is like using recycled steel. It is a cheaper and quicker option. Once someone concedes to someone outside the marriage and consummates, hoping for 2nd, 3rd, 4th partner, is not at all an issue. Apart from trust and loyalty factors, they get better in other parameters. And when you are corrupt to your conscience, other forms of corruption don’t matter. Don’t expect character there. Whether in politics or in your life if you accept such a partner you have to compromise on certain parameters like ethics and honesty, etc. Both sides know that there is no point in talking about ethics, honesty, etc anymore.

As I said the efficacy may improve by switching partners/parties. However, corruption becomes a strong integral part of the turncoats. Because money and power become the driving power for them. BJP has been running short of leadership materials, so poaching or using recycled steel is the only way as it is quicker and more economical. No matter how many recycling or melting processes you go through, some impurities will stay and some more added every time you are recycled. Another problem BJP is using a lot of reclaimed steel. This means the scraps are directly put to use without recycling. These days BJP is mostly using reclaimed steel or scrap steel directly. And you know what is scrap? They are discarded products. Whenever you hear that a senior Congress leader has joined the BJP. You need to understand that they are scrap materials, discarded or rejected for their poor quality or for not being of any use.

What will be BJP's Plan B if it doesn't win 272 seats in 2024 Lok Sabha elections?

  BJP's Plan B is to make Plan A foolproof so that it doesn’t have to think for Plan B. Why delay in uploading turnout data, Supreme Cou...